Matt Rosendale Predicted To Win Montana GOP Senate Primary in New Poll

By Kaitlyn Vogel May 31, 2018 at 1:11pm

The Western Journal conducted a political survey to gather information on the Montana 2018 Republican Primary Election.

Of the 417 Montana Republicans who responded to the survey, Matt Rosendale seems to be the favored Senate candidate, with 35 percent of responders saying they preferred him to the other candidates. Troy Downing and Albert Olszewski also are contenders for the position, and they were preferred by 18.7 percent of respondents and 17.5 percent of respondents respectively.

Ninety-two percent of respondents have a favorable opinion of President Donald Trump, and 2.6 percent have a favorable opinion of Nancy Pelosi.

The complete poll results are as follows:

1. Do you intend to vote in the June 5th primary in Montana?

Yes — 97.4 percent
Undecided — 2.2 percent
No — 0.5 percent

2. In the Republican Primary Election for U.S. Senate in Montana, the candidates running are listed below. Please select your preference for U.S. Senate among the choices listed:

Matt Rosendale — 35 percent
Troy Downing — 18.7 percent
Albert Olszewski — 17.5 percent
Undecided — 15.8 percent
Russell Fagg — 12.2 percent
Ron Murray — 0.7 percent

3. Are you registered to vote in Montana?

Yes — 100 percent
No — 0 percent
Other — 0 percent

4. Do you have a favorable opinion of President Donald J. Trump?

Yes — 92.1 percent
No — 5.3 percent
Other — 2.6 percent

5. Regarding your party affiliation, do you consider yourself to be a:

Republican — 66.7 percent
Independent — 21.3 percent
Other — 9.6 percent
Other — 2.4 percent

6. On the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself to be:

Pro-Life — 78.7 percent
Pro-Choice — 11.0 percent
Undecided — 5.3 percent
Other — 5.0 percent

7. Regarding taxes, do you want:

Your Taxes Decreased — 88.5 percent
Other — 8.6 percent
Your Taxes Increased — 2.9 percent

8. Do you have a favorable opinion of Nancy Pelosi?

Yes — 2.6 percent
No — 95.2 percent
Other — 2.2 percent

9. What is your gender?

Male — 52.0 percent
Female — 48.0 percent

10. Are you better off now than you were two years ago?

Yes — 76.5 percent
No — 14.6 percent
Other — 8.9 percent

11. Do you agree with the NRA and its strong support of gun owners’ rights?

Yes — 93.3 percent
No — 4.6 percent
Other — 2.2 percent

12. What is your age?

60 or older — 47.0 percent
50-59 — 29.7 percent
40-49 — 12.5 percent
30-39 — 5.8 percent
21-29 — 4.6 percent
18-20 — 0.5 percent
17 or younger — 0 percent

13. Which race/ethnicity best describes you?

White/Caucasian — 87.3 percent
Multiple ethnicities — 9.1 percent
American Indian or Alaska Native — 2.2 percent
Hispanic — 1.2 percent
Black or African American — 0.2 percent
Asians/Pacific Islander — 0 percent

14. On the topic of immigration, do you believe that America:

Has an illegal immigration problem — 94.7 percent
Does not have an illegal immigration problem — 4.1 percent
Other — 1.2 percent

15. Which of the following best describes your current relationship status?

Married — 67.6 percent
Divorced — 11.5 percent
Single, never married — 7.0 percent
Single, but cohabiting with a significant other — 5.5 percent
Widowed — 5.3 percent
In Domestic Partnership or Civil Union — 1.9 percent
Separated — 1.2 percent

16. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

Graduated from college — 21.8 percent
Graduated from high school — 21.3 percent
2 years of college — 17 percent
1 year of college — 11.8 percent
Completed graduate school — 11 percent
3 years of college — 9.1 percent
Some graduate school — 4.3 percent
Did not attend school — 1.9 percent
11th Grade — 1.0 percent
1st-8th Grade — 0.5 percent
10th Grade — 0.2 percent
9th Grade — 0.1 percent

17. Have you ever served in any branch of the United States military?

Yes — 26.6 percent
No — 73.4 percent

18. Which political party do you believe will control the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2018 elections?

Republican — 87.3 percent
Undecided — 7.9 percent
Democrat — 4.8 percent

19. Which political party do you believe will control the U.S. Senate after the 2018 elections?

Republicans — 88 percent
Undecided — 7.9 percent
Democrats — 4.1 percent

20. How much money did you personally earn in 2017?

$0-$9,999 — 21.1 percent
$20,000-$29,999 — 14.4 percent
$30,000-$39,999 — 12 percent
$40,000-$49,999 — 10.3 percent
$50,000-$59,999 — 8.2 percent
$10,000-$19,999 — 8.2 percent
$60,000-$69,999 — 7.9 percent
$70,000-$79,999 — 5.8 percent
$150,000 or more — 4.1 percent
$100,000-$124,999 — 2.9 percent
$80,000-$89,999 — 2.9 percent
$125,000-$149,000 — 1.2 percent
$90,000-$99,999 — 1.2 percent

Of the more than 1 million people currently living in Montana, 530,000 are on Facebook and 270,000 are Republicans. The Western Journal’s political survey targeted these 270,000 Republicans in Montana.

The poll consisted of three different audiences: people affiliated with the Republican Party, people who identified as conservative, and people who were both affiliated with the Republican Party and also identified themselves as conservative.

The audience demographic consisted of fluent English speakers of all genders who were at least 18 years old.

The information, comments and visits from The Western Journal’s millions of Facebook followers allow The Western Journal to invite likely Republican primary voting Facebook registrants in Montana, and other states nationwide, to participate in the surveys we conduct with a high confidence rate that the voters we asked to respond, will actually vote. More importantly, the makeup of those who respond to The Western Journal’s surveys indicates the population of registered voters that will turn out and vote in the June 5, 2018, primary.

Each respondent’s entries reported in the article are supported by a name, email address and zip code matched against voter file and other databases available to confirm voter eligibility in the state, districts and precincts targeted in this survey. Responses were statistically balanced using Facebook’s Artificial Intelligence tools and programs available to The Western Journal for this program, some of which are proprietary due to our scale and reputation.

Questions about this survey can be submitted through the contact us page.

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