It's Far from Over: Final Pre-Election Polls Show Just How Tight the Race Is
As you probably know if you’ve stepped anywhere near the news in the past few weeks, this presidential race is the closest in many a year. What the news hasn’t necessarily emphasized is just how close the polls show it being — and how a slight error in modeling or a last-minute shift in patterns could mean that either candidate ends up walking away with an Electoral College landslide.
As of Friday, there are nine toss-up states, according to the RealClearPolitics polling aggregate: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Add in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District — Nebraska apportions some of its electoral vote total by the winner in each district — and that’s 108 electoral votes that are toss-ups as the final polls begin to roll in.
In five of those states — Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Pennsylvania — Donald Trump holds a lead; Kamala Harris leads the rest. However, aside from Minnesota, which is just within the toss-up parameters but which leans Harris — none of those leads is larger than 2.5 points in the aggregate.
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